Publications: The Petroleum Economics Monthly
Energy's Future Black Swans (January 2015)
We took the title of this issue of The Petroleum Economics Monthly from Nassim Nicholas Taleb’s book The Black Swan. As the author explains, black swans were considered impossible by Europeans until Europeans arrived in Australia and found the birds. Before that discovery, all swans were believed to be white. Taleb then adopts the occurrence of such “Black Swan events” as his theme, defining the events to be unexpected incidents or developments.
This subject has come up because Saudi oil minister Ali Naimi raised it with regard to energy markets at the December meeting of the Organization of Arab Petroleum Exporting Countries, asking “Is there a black swan that we don’t know about which will come by 2050 and we will have no demand?” In response, we devote this report to potential energy Black Swans.
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- The Petroleum Economics Monthly
- The Failure of Traditional Oil Market Fu...
- Will Investor Aversion Bring Higher Oil ...
- The Hedge Fund War on Fracking (August 2...
- IMO 2020: Implications for Crude (Januar...
- Understanding Price Behavior During Oil ...
- $200 Crude, the Economic Crisis of 2020,...
- IMO 2020: Economic Prospects (June/July ...
- Brent Is Dated (November/December 2017)
- The United States: Center of the Global ...
- A Tale of Two Markets (September 2017)
- The Triumph of Markets (August 2017)
- Twilight of Big Energy (July 2017)
- Failure to Learn from History: The Produ...
- A Lesson in Disruption (May 2017)
- Putting a Finger in the Oil Market Dike ...
- Oil's Johnny One-Note (March 2017)
- The Don Quixotes of Oil (February 2017)
- Markets Take Over (January 2017)